Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetNEW

Willock

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
2.32xPts0.46pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
11012.32.32.22.2
GW4 1 points played · GW5 10 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.3 projected · GW8 2.3 projected · GW9 2.2 projected · GW10 2.2 projected
GW45678910
AVLCRYEVEFUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank160thcaptain EV4.64owned0.6%season23 ptspts/£m so far4.60
attack 1.9clean sheet 0.2defence 0.0bonus 0.2= 2.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 32%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (32% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.32
Captain EV4.64
Top 15% of sims, average7.68
Projected pts/£m0.464
Expected bonus (per match)0.18
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.014
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.18
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.73
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank160 / 240
Season points (minutes)23 (342′)
Realized pts/£m4.60
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/460.json.