Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidNEW

Osula

FWD · £5.8m · Gameweek 7
0.68xPts0.12pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
410.70.70.70.70.6
GW1 4 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.7 projected · GW8 0.7 projected · GW9 0.7 projected · GW10 0.7 projected · GW11 0.6 projected
GW167891011
AVLCRYEVEFULARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank305thcaptain EV1.36owned0.3%season5 pts
attack 0.3bonus 0.4= 0.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 75%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (75% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.68
Captain EV1.36
Top 15% of sims, average3.90
Projected pts/£m0.117
Expected bonus (per match)0.41
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.001
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.09
Price£5.8m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank305 / 299
Season points (minutes)5 (67′)
Realized pts/£m0.86
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/465.json.