Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetNFO

Morato

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
1.02xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.57 · GW2 1.31 · GW3 1.42 · GW4 1.29 · GW5 1.48 · GW6 1.35GW1GW6
ceiling 5.23captain EV 2.04owned 0.0%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +324
LIV (A)GW2TOT (H)GW3AVL (A)GW4COV (H)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.02
Captain EV2.04
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)5.23
Projected pts/£m0.204
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.29
P(DefCon threshold)0.146
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.17
Start probability0.37
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank250 / 574
Season points (minutes)0 (1340′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/470.json.