Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · MidNFO

Murillo

DEF · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
1.56xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.89 · GW2 1.55 · GW3 1.71 · GW4 1.53 · GW5 1.73 · GW6 1.59GW1GW6
ceiling 5.88captain EV 3.12owned 1.7%
season 4 ptsrealized 0.73 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -41
LIV (A)GW2TOT (H)GW3AVL (A)GW4COV (H)GW5
hold · tier B · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.56
Captain EV3.12
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)5.88
Projected pts/£m0.284
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.45
P(DefCon threshold)0.223
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.31
Start probability0.66
Price£5.5m
Ownership1.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank181 / 140
Season points (minutes)4 (2130′)
Realized pts/£m0.73
VerdictB · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/472.json.