Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetNFO
Jair Cunha
1.45xPts0.32pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
1811.41.91.71.6
GW23578910
ARSIPSBREMCI
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank230thcaptain EV2.89owned0.2%season11 ptspts/£m so far2.44
attack 0.8clean sheet 0.4defence 0.3bonus 0.0= 1.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 43%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 1.45 |
| Captain EV | 2.89 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 5.67 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.322 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.02 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.28 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.142 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.36 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.55 |
| Price | £4.5m |
| Ownership | 0.2% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 230 / 341 |
| Season points (minutes) | 11 (360′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 2.44 |
| Model tier | B · Budget |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/474.json.