Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetNFO

Netz

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
0.18xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.30 · GW2 0.24 · GW3 0.25 · GW4 0.23 · GW5 0.28 · GW6 0.25GW1GW6
ceiling 1.21captain EV 0.35owned 0.0%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.22 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +139
LIV (A)GW2TOT (H)GW3AVL (A)GW4COV (H)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.18
Captain EV0.35
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)1.21
Projected pts/£m0.039
Expected bonus (per match)0.02
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.012
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.04
Start probability0.08
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank442 / 581
Season points (minutes)1 (353′)
Realized pts/£m0.22
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/478.json.