Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidNFO

Gibbs-White

MID · £8.0m · Gameweek 2

Knee injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

2.32xPts this gameweek
GW1 4.83 · GW2 4.11 · GW3 4.93 · GW4 4.07 · GW5 6.19 · GW6 4.76GW1GW6
ceiling 10.10captain EV 4.65owned 10.2%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.25 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -81
LIV (A)GW2TOT (H)GW3AVL (A)GW4COV (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.32
Captain EV4.65
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)10.10
Projected pts/£m0.291
Expected bonus (per match)0.57
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.004
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.69
Price£8.0m
Ownership10.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank119 / 38
Season points (minutes)2 (3101′)
Realized pts/£m0.25
VerdictA · Mid · buy

Research notes on file: Gibbs-White. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.

Currently in our model squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/480.json.