Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidNFO

Gibbs-White

MID · £8.0m · Gameweek 7
4.12xPts0.52pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 10
8224.15.85.35.0
GW4 8 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 4.1 projected · GW8 5.8 projected · GW9 5.3 projected · GW10 5.0 projected
GW45678910
ARSIPSBREMCI
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank38thcaptain EV8.24owned14.8%season30 ptspts/£m so far3.75
attack 3.3clean sheet 0.2defence 0.0bonus 0.6= 4.1 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 49%ceiling 10
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (49% of simulations), ceiling 10 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we own him, in our XI
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.12
Captain EV8.24
Top 15% of sims, average11.51
Projected pts/£m0.515
Expected bonus (per match)0.58
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.014
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.17
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£8.0m
Ownership14.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank38 / 28
Season points (minutes)30 (540′)
Realized pts/£m3.75
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe own him, in our XI

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

Research notes on file: Gibbs-White. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.

Currently in the XI of our squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/480.json.