Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · MidNFO

Bakwa

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
0.49xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.58 · GW2 0.51 · GW3 0.61 · GW4 0.50 · GW5 0.70 · GW6 0.58GW1GW6
ceiling 3.23captain EV 0.98owned 0.0%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +94
LIV (A)GW2TOT (H)GW3AVL (A)GW4COV (H)GW5
hold · tier C · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.49
Captain EV0.98
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)3.23
Projected pts/£m0.089
Expected bonus (per match)0.18
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.004
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.16
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank400 / 494
Season points (minutes)0 (549′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictC · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/485.json.