Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidNFO

McAtee

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 7
2.92xPts0.53pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 5
3242.93.63.43.3
GW4 3 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 2.9 projected · GW8 3.6 projected · GW9 3.4 projected · GW10 3.3 projected
GW45678910
ARSIPSBREMCI
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank111thcaptain EV5.85owned0.1%season16 ptspts/£m so far2.91
attack 2.3clean sheet 0.2defence 0.3bonus 0.2= 2.9 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 50%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (50% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.92
Captain EV5.85
Top 15% of sims, average7.15
Projected pts/£m0.531
Expected bonus (per match)0.17
DefCon points (per match)0.31
P(DefCon threshold)0.153
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.16
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.98
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank111 / 452
Season points (minutes)16 (506′)
Realized pts/£m2.91
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/486.json.