Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCOV

Awoniyi

FWD · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
1.89xPts0.35pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
22-21.92.32.32.3
GW2 2 points played · GW3 2 points played · GW4 -2 points played · GW7 1.9 projected · GW8 2.3 projected · GW9 2.3 projected · GW10 2.3 projected
GW23478910
TOTFULSUNEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank190thcaptain EV3.78owned0.3%season3 ptspts/£m so far0.56
attack 1.3bonus 0.6= 1.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 49%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (49% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.89
Captain EV3.78
Top 15% of sims, average8.66
Projected pts/£m0.350
Expected bonus (per match)0.56
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.41
Price£5.4m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank190 / 282
Season points (minutes)3 (232′)
Realized pts/£m0.56
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/492.json.