Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · BudgetTOT

Kinsky

GK · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
3.83xPts0.85pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 8
7233.82.83.33.1
GW4 7 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 3.8 projected · GW8 2.8 projected · GW9 3.3 projected · GW10 3.1 projected
GW45678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank45thcaptain EV7.67owned15.7%season21 ptspts/£m so far4.67
attack 1.9clean sheet 1.5bonus 0.5= 3.8 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 26%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (26% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
on the consensus bench, we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.83
Captain EV7.67
Top 15% of sims, average8.97
Projected pts/£m0.851
Expected bonus (per match)0.48
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.47
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.5m
Ownership15.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank45 / 26
Season points (minutes)21 (540′)
Realized pts/£m4.67
Model tierS · Budget
Our positionon the consensus bench, we do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

Research notes on file: Kinsky. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.

Currently in the bench of the consensus squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/496.json.