Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier S · MidTOT
Senesi
4.56xPts this gameweek
ceiling 11.55captain EV 9.12owned 8.0%
season 3 ptsrealized 0.50 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +40
NEW (H)GW2NFO (A)GW3EVE (H)GW4AVL (H)GW5
buy · tier S · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 4.56 |
| Captain EV | 9.12 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 11.55 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.760 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.33 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 1.07 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.536 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.93 |
| Start probability | 0.97 |
| Price | £6.0m |
| Ownership | 8.0% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 12 / 52 |
| Season points (minutes) | 3 (3288′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.50 |
| Verdict | S · Mid · buy |
Research notes on file: Senesi. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.
Currently in our model squad.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/498.json.