Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidTOT

Pedro Porro

DEF · £5.5m · Gameweek 2

Lack of match fitness - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

2.56xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.97 · GW2 3.39 · GW3 3.02 · GW4 3.23 · GW5 3.19 · GW6 2.81GW1GW6
ceiling 9.24captain EV 5.13owned 14.1%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -72
NEW (H)GW2NFO (A)GW3EVE (H)GW4AVL (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.56
Captain EV5.13
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)9.24
Projected pts/£m0.466
Expected bonus (per match)0.32
DefCon points (per match)0.17
P(DefCon threshold)0.085
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.65
Start probability0.63
Price£5.5m
Ownership14.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank99 / 27
Season points (minutes)0 (2793′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/499.json.