Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetTOT

Robertson

DEF · £4.4m · Gameweek 7
2.85xPts0.65pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
1742.91.92.32.2
GW3 1 points played · GW4 7 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW7 2.9 projected · GW8 1.9 projected · GW9 2.3 projected · GW10 2.2 projected
GW34578910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank117thcaptain EV5.71owned2.3%season17 ptspts/£m so far3.86
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.9defence 0.1bonus 0.4= 2.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 38%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (38% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.85
Captain EV5.71
Top 15% of sims, average9.87
Projected pts/£m0.648
Expected bonus (per match)0.40
DefCon points (per match)0.09
P(DefCon threshold)0.043
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.89
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.58
Price£4.4m
Ownership2.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank117 / 117
Season points (minutes)17 (366′)
Realized pts/£m3.86
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/502.json.