Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetTOT

Ben Davies

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 2
0.32xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.27 · GW2 0.31 · GW3 0.25 · GW4 0.29 · GW5 0.29 · GW6 0.22GW1GW6
ceiling 2.14captain EV 0.64owned 1.1%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -240
NEW (H)GW2NFO (A)GW3EVE (H)GW4AVL (H)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.32
Captain EV0.64
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)2.14
Projected pts/£m0.080
Expected bonus (per match)0.54
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.006
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.04
Start probability0.05
Price£4.0m
Ownership1.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank425 / 185
Season points (minutes)0 (136′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/508.json.