Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetAVL

George Hemmings

MID · £4.5m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Knee injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

Model start prior (before lineup constraints): 0.37. The FPL percentage concerns playing. The model start prior is a separate estimate.

1.06xPts0.24pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
3111.11.01.11.1
GW3 3 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW7 1.1 projected · GW8 1.0 projected · GW9 1.1 projected · GW10 1.1 projected
GW34578910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank254thcaptain EV2.11owned1.0%season9 ptspts/£m so far2.00
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 1.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 57%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (57% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.06
Captain EV2.11
Top 15% of sims, average4.13
Projected pts/£m0.236
Expected bonus (per match)0.06
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.009
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.08
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.37
Price£4.5m
Ownership1.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank254 / 176
Season points (minutes)9 (297′)
Realized pts/£m2.00
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/51.json.