Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidTOT

Tel

MID · £5.7m · Gameweek 7
1.72xPts0.30pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
2311.71.31.41.4
GW2 2 points played · GW3 3 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW7 1.7 projected · GW8 1.3 projected · GW9 1.4 projected · GW10 1.4 projected
GW23478910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank204thcaptain EV3.44owned0.2%season8 ptspts/£m so far1.40
attack 1.3clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.3= 1.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 55%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (55% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.72
Captain EV3.44
Top 15% of sims, average7.98
Projected pts/£m0.302
Expected bonus (per match)0.31
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.006
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.13
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.33
Price£5.7m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank204 / 367
Season points (minutes)8 (257′)
Realized pts/£m1.40
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/514.json.