Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetTOT

Gallagher

MID · £5.3m · Gameweek 7
2.20xPts0.41pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
3632.21.81.91.9
GW3 3 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 2.2 projected · GW8 1.8 projected · GW9 1.9 projected · GW10 1.9 projected
GW35678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank168thcaptain EV4.40owned0.2%season12 ptspts/£m so far2.26
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.2defence 0.2bonus 0.3= 2.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 44%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (44% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.20
Captain EV4.40
Top 15% of sims, average8.38
Projected pts/£m0.415
Expected bonus (per match)0.27
DefCon points (per match)0.23
P(DefCon threshold)0.115
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.19
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.50
Price£5.3m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank168 / 333
Season points (minutes)12 (207′)
Realized pts/£m2.26
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/519.json.