Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetTOT

Bergvall

MID · £5.3m · Gameweek 7
1.54xPts0.29pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
1131.51.31.41.3
GW4 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 1.5 projected · GW8 1.3 projected · GW9 1.4 projected · GW10 1.3 projected
GW45678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank225thcaptain EV3.07owned0.1%season6 ptspts/£m so far1.13
attack 1.1clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 1.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 55%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (55% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.54
Captain EV3.07
Top 15% of sims, average6.70
Projected pts/£m0.291
Expected bonus (per match)0.16
DefCon points (per match)0.11
P(DefCon threshold)0.056
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.13
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.36
Price£5.3m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank225 / 386
Season points (minutes)6 (143′)
Realized pts/£m1.13
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/520.json.