Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidTOT

Fernandes

MID · £6.0m · Gameweek 2
3.41xPts this gameweek
GW1 3.11 · GW2 3.40 · GW3 3.10 · GW4 3.16 · GW5 3.18 · GW6 2.86GW1GW6
ceiling 8.99captain EV 6.82owned 1.8%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.17 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +86
NEW (H)GW2NFO (A)GW3EVE (H)GW4AVL (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)3.41
Captain EV6.82
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)8.99
Projected pts/£m0.569
Expected bonus (per match)0.33
DefCon points (per match)0.56
P(DefCon threshold)0.280
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.92
Price£6.0m
Ownership1.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank47 / 133
Season points (minutes)1 (3017′)
Realized pts/£m0.17
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/525.json.