Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidTOT

Richarlison

FWD · £6.0m · Gameweek 2
3.49xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.99 · GW2 3.52 · GW3 2.93 · GW4 3.04 · GW5 3.07 · GW6 2.48GW1GW6
ceiling 12.75captain EV 6.98owned 3.0%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.33 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +65
NEW (H)GW2NFO (A)GW3EVE (H)GW4AVL (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)3.49
Captain EV6.98
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)12.75
Projected pts/£m0.582
Expected bonus (per match)1.53
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.014
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.53
Price£6.0m
Ownership3.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank40 / 105
Season points (minutes)2 (1954′)
Realized pts/£m0.33
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/527.json.