Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetSUN

Roefs

GK · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
2.56xPts0.52pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
2012.63.02.92.7
GW4 2 points played · GW5 0 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.6 projected · GW8 3.0 projected · GW9 2.9 projected · GW10 2.7 projected
GW45678910
BOULEECOVCHE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank138thcaptain EV5.11owned2.2%season12 ptspts/£m so far2.45
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.9bonus 0.2= 2.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 34%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (34% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.56
Captain EV5.11
Top 15% of sims, average7.72
Projected pts/£m0.522
Expected bonus (per match)0.23
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.87
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£4.9m
Ownership2.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank138 / 119
Season points (minutes)12 (540′)
Realized pts/£m2.45
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/529.json.