Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidAVL

Manzambi

MID · £5.9m · Gameweek 7
2.32xPts0.39pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
11352.32.02.22.2
GW4 1 points played · GW5 13 points played · GW6 5 points played · GW7 2.3 projected · GW8 2.0 projected · GW9 2.2 projected · GW10 2.2 projected
GW45678910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank159thcaptain EV4.65owned1.0%season19 ptspts/£m so far3.22
attack 1.7clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.4= 2.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 43%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (43% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.32
Captain EV4.65
Top 15% of sims, average9.51
Projected pts/£m0.393
Expected bonus (per match)0.43
DefCon points (per match)0.05
P(DefCon threshold)0.026
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.10
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.49
Price£5.9m
Ownership1.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank159 / 179
Season points (minutes)19 (183′)
Realized pts/£m3.22
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/53.json.