Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetSUN

Ellborg

GK · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
0.33xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.35 · GW2 0.30 · GW3 0.22 · GW4 0.27 · GW5 0.22 · GW6 0.30GW1GW6
ceiling 2.20captain EV 0.66owned 0.1%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -5
FUL (H)GW2BRE (A)GW3ARS (H)GW4MCI (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.33
Captain EV0.66
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)2.20
Projected pts/£m0.073
Expected bonus (per match)0.79
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.10
Start probability0.08
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank423 / 418
Season points (minutes)0 (270′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/531.json.