Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetSUN

Ballard

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
3.09xPts this gameweek
GW1 3.12 · GW2 3.20 · GW3 2.32 · GW4 2.80 · GW5 2.02 · GW6 3.11GW1GW6
ceiling 10.14captain EV 6.18owned 5.3%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +4
FUL (H)GW2BRE (A)GW3ARS (H)GW4MCI (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)3.09
Captain EV6.18
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)10.14
Projected pts/£m0.618
Expected bonus (per match)0.20
DefCon points (per match)0.70
P(DefCon threshold)0.350
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.76
Start probability0.63
Price£5.0m
Ownership5.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank63 / 67
Season points (minutes)0 (2144′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/532.json.