Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · BudgetSUN

Mukiele

DEF · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
3.87xPts0.72pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 9
0033.94.54.54.2
GW4 0 points played · GW5 0 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 3.9 projected · GW8 4.5 projected · GW9 4.5 projected · GW10 4.2 projected
GW45678910
BOULEECOVCHE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank42ndcaptain EV7.74owned1.8%season16 ptspts/£m so far2.96
attack 1.8clean sheet 0.8defence 0.8bonus 0.4= 3.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 17%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (17% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.87
Captain EV7.74
Top 15% of sims, average10.55
Projected pts/£m0.717
Expected bonus (per match)0.37
DefCon points (per match)0.85
P(DefCon threshold)0.425
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.81
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.91
Price£5.4m
Ownership1.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank42 / 131
Season points (minutes)16 (450′)
Realized pts/£m2.96
Model tierS · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/533.json.