Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetSUN

Alderete

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
3.42xPts this gameweek
GW1 3.45 · GW2 3.41 · GW3 2.45 · GW4 3.17 · GW5 2.25 · GW6 3.38GW1GW6
ceiling 9.07captain EV 6.85owned 0.5%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.20 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +206
FUL (H)GW2BRE (A)GW3ARS (H)GW4MCI (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)3.42
Captain EV6.85
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)9.07
Projected pts/£m0.685
Expected bonus (per match)0.09
DefCon points (per match)0.73
P(DefCon threshold)0.364
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.01
Start probability0.84
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank45 / 251
Season points (minutes)1 (2797′)
Realized pts/£m0.20
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/535.json.