Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidAVL

Gomes

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 7
1.69xPts0.31pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
-2421.71.61.71.6
GW1 -2 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 1.7 projected · GW8 1.6 projected · GW9 1.7 projected · GW10 1.6 projected
GW15678910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank210thcaptain EV3.37owned0.0%season4 ptspts/£m so far0.73
attack 1.4clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 36%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (36% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.69
Captain EV3.37
Top 15% of sims, average5.27
Projected pts/£m0.307
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.13
P(DefCon threshold)0.065
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.12
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.58
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank210 / 562
Season points (minutes)4 (214′)
Realized pts/£m0.73
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/54.json.