Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCRY
Matthews
0.30xPts0.07pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
0.30.40.40.40.4
GW7891011
BHANEWTOTLIVCOV
projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank349thcaptain EV0.59owned1.6%season0 pts
attack 0.1clean sheet 0.1bonus 0.1= 0.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 89%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 0.30 |
| Captain EV | 0.59 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 1.99 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.075 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.15 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.00 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.000 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.08 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.25 |
| Price | £4.0m |
| Ownership | 1.6% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 349 / 138 |
| Season points (minutes) | 0 (0′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.00 |
| Model tier | B · Budget |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/555.json.