Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetNFO

Schlager

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
2.68xPts0.54pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
3222.73.12.92.9
GW4 3 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 2.7 projected · GW8 3.1 projected · GW9 2.9 projected · GW10 2.9 projected
GW45678910
ARSIPSBREMCI
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank128thcaptain EV5.36owned0.1%season15 ptspts/£m so far3.00
attack 2.0clean sheet 0.1defence 0.5bonus 0.1= 2.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 42%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (42% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.68
Captain EV5.36
Top 15% of sims, average6.29
Projected pts/£m0.536
Expected bonus (per match)0.10
DefCon points (per match)0.47
P(DefCon threshold)0.233
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.15
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.90
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank128 / 478
Season points (minutes)15 (441′)
Realized pts/£m3.00
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/558.json.