Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetIPS
Maeda
1.48xPts0.28pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
1121.51.81.81.8
GW45678910
MCINFOHULBOU
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank229thcaptain EV2.97owned0.2%season10 ptspts/£m so far1.89
attack 1.3clean sheet 0.0defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 1.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 38%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 1.48 |
| Captain EV | 2.97 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 4.68 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.279 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.08 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.04 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.020 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.04 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.60 |
| Price | £5.3m |
| Ownership | 0.2% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 229 / 349 |
| Season points (minutes) | 10 (339′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 1.89 |
| Model tier | B · Budget |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/562.json.