Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetNEW

Horníček

GK · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
3.42xPts0.68pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 9
1303.43.53.73.3
GW4 1 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 0 points played · GW7 3.4 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 3.7 projected · GW10 3.3 projected
GW45678910
AVLCRYEVEFUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank77thcaptain EV6.84owned1.4%season14 ptspts/£m so far2.80
attack 2.0clean sheet 1.0bonus 0.4= 3.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 27%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (27% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.42
Captain EV6.84
Top 15% of sims, average9.21
Projected pts/£m0.684
Expected bonus (per match)0.43
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.99
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.98
Price£5.0m
Ownership1.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank77 / 151
Season points (minutes)14 (540′)
Realized pts/£m2.80
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/567.json.