Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetBOU

Petrović

GK · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
3.19xPts0.71pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
1203.22.52.92.9
GW4 1 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 0 points played · GW7 3.2 projected · GW8 2.5 projected · GW9 2.9 projected · GW10 2.9 projected
GW45678910
SUNMUNLEEIPS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank91stcaptain EV6.38owned2.9%season9 ptspts/£m so far2.00
attack 1.6clean sheet 1.2bonus 0.4= 3.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 28%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (28% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.19
Captain EV6.38
Top 15% of sims, average8.48
Projected pts/£m0.709
Expected bonus (per match)0.36
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.22
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£4.5m
Ownership2.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank91 / 106
Season points (minutes)9 (540′)
Realized pts/£m2.00
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/57.json.