Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetIPS

Florentino

MID · £4.8m · Gameweek 7
0.81xPts0.17pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
1120.80.91.01.0
GW4 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 0.8 projected · GW8 0.9 projected · GW9 1.0 projected · GW10 1.0 projected
GW45678910
MCINFOHULBOU
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank274thcaptain EV1.62owned0.1%season4 ptspts/£m so far0.83
attack 0.7clean sheet 0.0defence 0.1bonus 0.0= 0.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 61%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (61% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.81
Captain EV1.62
Top 15% of sims, average3.43
Projected pts/£m0.169
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.06
P(DefCon threshold)0.032
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.02
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.28
Price£4.8m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank274 / 416
Season points (minutes)4 (92′)
Realized pts/£m0.83
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/571.json.