Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetHUL
Tzolakis
3.01xPts0.64pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 9
2623.03.43.73.0
GW45678910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank103rdcaptain EV6.01owned13.5%season36 ptspts/£m so far7.66
attack 1.8clean sheet 0.7bonus 0.5= 3.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 29%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 3.01 |
| Captain EV | 6.01 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 9.34 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.640 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.48 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.00 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.000 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.69 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.98 |
| Price | £4.7m |
| Ownership | 13.5% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 103 / 32 |
| Season points (minutes) | 36 (540′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 7.66 |
| Model tier | A · Budget |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/572.json.