Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetHUL

Hjertø-Dahl

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
0.99xPts this gameweek
ceiling 5.66captain EV 1.97owned 0.1%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +168
COV (A)GW2AVL (H)GW3CHE (A)GW4NEW (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.99
Captain EV1.97
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)5.66
Projected pts/£m0.197
Expected bonus (per match)0.56
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.25
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank261 / 429
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/574.json.