Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetHUL

Stroud

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
1.12xPts0.22pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
3141.11.21.21.1
GW3 3 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 1.1 projected · GW8 1.2 projected · GW9 1.2 projected · GW10 1.1 projected
GW34678910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank248thcaptain EV2.24owned0.1%season11 ptspts/£m so far2.20
attack 1.0clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 1.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 47%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (47% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.12
Captain EV2.24
Top 15% of sims, average3.95
Projected pts/£m0.224
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.012
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.07
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.50
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank248 / 482
Season points (minutes)11 (275′)
Realized pts/£m2.20
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/576.json.