Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetHUL

Stroud

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
0.07xPts this gameweek
ceiling 0.48captain EV 0.14owned 0.1%
season 3 ptsrealized 0.60 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +9
COV (A)GW2AVL (H)GW3CHE (A)GW4NEW (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.07
Captain EV0.14
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)0.48
Projected pts/£m0.014
Expected bonus (per match)0.74
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.001
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.03
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank468 / 477
Season points (minutes)3 (70′)
Realized pts/£m0.60
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/576.json.