Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetFUL

Charles

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
2.90xPts0.58pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
5432.92.82.72.7
GW4 5 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 2.9 projected · GW8 2.8 projected · GW9 2.7 projected · GW10 2.7 projected
GW45678910
HULCOVAVLNEW
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank114thcaptain EV5.79owned0.1%season16 ptspts/£m so far3.20
attack 1.9clean sheet 0.3defence 0.5bonus 0.2= 2.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 23%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (23% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.90
Captain EV5.79
Top 15% of sims, average7.71
Projected pts/£m0.580
Expected bonus (per match)0.17
DefCon points (per match)0.52
P(DefCon threshold)0.259
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.28
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.79
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank114 / 396
Season points (minutes)16 (373′)
Realized pts/£m3.20
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/580.json.