Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidBHA

David

FWD · £5.9m · Gameweek 7
0.29xPts0.05pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
100.30.30.30.30.3
GW2 1 points played · GW3 0 points played · GW7 0.3 projected · GW8 0.3 projected · GW9 0.3 projected · GW10 0.3 projected · GW11 0.3 projected
GW237891011
CRYLIVMCIBREHUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank356thcaptain EV0.57owned0.2%season1 pts
attack 0.2bonus 0.1= 0.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 82%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (82% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.29
Captain EV0.57
Top 15% of sims, average1.74
Projected pts/£m0.049
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.01
Price£5.9m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank356 / 330
Season points (minutes)1 (23′)
Realized pts/£m0.17
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/594.json.