Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetAVL

Wan-Bissaka

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
1.40xPts0.31pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
3111.41.21.41.4
GW4 3 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 1.4 projected · GW8 1.2 projected · GW9 1.4 projected · GW10 1.4 projected
GW45678910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank234thcaptain EV2.79owned0.2%season7 ptspts/£m so far1.56
attack 0.7clean sheet 0.3defence 0.3bonus 0.1= 1.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 54%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (54% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.40
Captain EV2.79
Top 15% of sims, average6.32
Projected pts/£m0.311
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.29
P(DefCon threshold)0.144
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.33
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.39
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank234 / 370
Season points (minutes)7 (197′)
Realized pts/£m1.56
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/611.json.