Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetSUN

Ahoka

MID · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
0.92xPts0.20pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
0.91.01.01.00.9
GW7 0.9 projected · GW8 1.0 projected · GW9 1.0 projected · GW10 1.0 projected · GW11 0.9 projected
GW7891011
BOULEECOVCHEAVL
projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank263rdcaptain EV1.83owned0.2%season0 pts
attack 0.8clean sheet 0.1bonus 0.1= 0.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 60%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (60% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.92
Captain EV1.83
Top 15% of sims, average4.19
Projected pts/£m0.204
Expected bonus (per match)0.10
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.05
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.25
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank263 / 309
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/613.json.