Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetBRE

Diouf

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
0.58xPts0.13pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
0.80.60.60.60.5
GW3 0.8 projected · GW4 0.6 projected · GW5 0.6 projected · GW6 0.6 projected · GW7 0.5 projected
GW34567
SUNbouCHEavl
projected · CAPS = home · greener opponent = easier · grey = not priced yet
model rank366thcaptain EV1.17owned0.1%season0 pts
attack 0.4clean sheet 0.2= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 78%ceiling 2
50,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (78% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 2 September 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.58
Captain EV1.17
Top 15% of sims, average3.57
Projected pts/£m0.130
Expected bonus (per match)0.00
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.20
Start probability0.25
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank366 / 407
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/620.json.