Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetMCI

Braithwaite

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 2
0.55xPts0.14pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
10.60.40.50.40.5
GW2 1 points played · GW3 0.6 projected · GW4 0.4 projected · GW5 0.5 projected · GW6 0.4 projected · GW7 0.5 projected
GW234567
cryCOVmunSUNliv
played · projected · CAPS = home · greener opponent = easier · grey = not priced yet
model rank375thcaptain EV1.09owned0.1%season1 pts
bonus 1.2= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 77%ceiling 3
50,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (77% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 2 September 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.55
Captain EV1.09
Top 15% of sims, average3.31
Projected pts/£m0.137
Expected bonus (per match)1.19
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.26
Price£4.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank375 / 391
Season points (minutes)1 (1′)
Realized pts/£m0.25
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/622.json.