Player card · Gameweek 3
Tier B · MidLIV

Barcola

MID · £8.0m · Gameweek 3
1.14xPts0.14pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
1.11.10.90.90.9
GW3 1.1 projected · GW4 1.1 projected · GW5 0.9 projected · GW6 0.9 projected · GW7 0.9 projected
GW34567
IPSFULBOUMCIBRE
projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank248thcaptain EV2.29owned0.9%season0 pts
attack 1.0bonus 0.1= 1.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 75%ceiling 5
50,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (75% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 3 September 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 3
Expected points (xPts)1.14
Captain EV2.29
Top 15% of sims, average6.55
Projected pts/£m0.143
Expected bonus (per match)0.10
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.25
Price£8.0m
Ownership0.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank248 / 199
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw3/players/627.json.