Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · MidAVL

Mbaye

MID · £6.0m · Gameweek 7
0.26xPts0.04pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
1110.30.30.30.2
GW4 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.3 projected · GW8 0.3 projected · GW9 0.3 projected · GW10 0.2 projected
GW45678910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank374thcaptain EV0.53owned0.1%season3 ptspts/£m so far0.50
attack 0.2bonus 0.0= 0.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 81%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (81% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.26
Captain EV0.53
Top 15% of sims, average1.50
Projected pts/£m0.043
Expected bonus (per match)0.03
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.01
Price£6.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank374 / 450
Season points (minutes)3 (59′)
Realized pts/£m0.50
Model tierC · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/631.json.