Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetCRY

Ahanor

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
0.59xPts0.13pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
310.60.70.70.70.8
GW4 3 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.6 projected · GW8 0.7 projected · GW9 0.7 projected · GW10 0.7 projected · GW11 0.8 projected
GW467891011
BHANEWTOTLIVCOV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank316thcaptain EV1.18owned0.0%season4 pts
attack 0.4clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.0= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 71%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (71% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.59
Captain EV1.18
Top 15% of sims, average3.09
Projected pts/£m0.131
Expected bonus (per match)0.01
DefCon points (per match)0.13
P(DefCon threshold)0.065
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.09
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.18
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank316 / 501
Season points (minutes)4 (108′)
Realized pts/£m0.89
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/633.json.