Player card · Gameweek 3
Tier B · MidNEW

Fernandez-Pardo

FWD · £6.0m · Gameweek 3
1.20xPts0.20pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
1.21.11.31.21.2
GW3 1.2 projected · GW4 1.1 projected · GW5 1.3 projected · GW6 1.2 projected · GW7 1.2 projected
GW34567
BOULEEHULCOVAVL
projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank240thcaptain EV2.39owned0.0%season0 pts
attack 0.9bonus 0.3= 1.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 75%ceiling 5
50,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (75% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 3 September 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 3
Expected points (xPts)1.20
Captain EV2.39
Top 15% of sims, average6.96
Projected pts/£m0.199
Expected bonus (per match)0.33
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.25
Price£6.0m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank240 / 546
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw3/players/634.json.