Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidBHA

Andrés

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 7
2.03xPts0.37pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
4832.01.81.71.8
GW4 4 points played · GW5 8 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 2.0 projected · GW8 1.8 projected · GW9 1.7 projected · GW10 1.8 projected
GW45678910
CRYLIVMCIBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank180thcaptain EV4.06owned0.1%season15 ptspts/£m so far2.73
attack 1.6clean sheet 0.2defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 2.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 44%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (44% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.03
Captain EV4.06
Top 15% of sims, average7.85
Projected pts/£m0.369
Expected bonus (per match)0.19
DefCon points (per match)0.11
P(DefCon threshold)0.055
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.17
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.49
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank180 / 376
Season points (minutes)15 (199′)
Realized pts/£m2.73
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/639.json.