Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetBOU

Smith

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
1.05xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.48 · GW2 0.95 · GW3 0.85 · GW4 0.95 · GW5 0.93 · GW6 0.81GW1GW6
ceiling 5.36captain EV 2.11owned 0.1%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.22 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +232
EVE (H)GW2NEW (A)GW3BRE (H)GW4LIV (H)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.05
Captain EV2.11
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)5.36
Projected pts/£m0.234
Expected bonus (per match)0.10
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.018
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.42
Start probability0.37
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank243 / 475
Season points (minutes)1 (1073′)
Realized pts/£m0.22
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/64.json.