Player card · Gameweek 3
Tier C · BudgetLEE
Bard
0.49xPts0.11pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
0.50.60.60.50.6
GW34567
BHANEWCRYARSMUN
projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank393rdcaptain EV0.99owned0.0%season0 pts
attack 0.3clean sheet 0.1= 0.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 79%ceiling 2
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 3 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 0.49 |
| Captain EV | 0.99 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 3.08 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.110 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.00 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.00 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.000 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.15 |
| Start probability | 0.25 |
| Price | £4.5m |
| Ownership | 0.0% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 393 / 510 |
| Season points (minutes) | 0 (0′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.00 |
| Model tier | C · Budget |
| Our position | we do not own him |
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw3/players/641.json.